GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Serie A · — · 19:30
versus

Fluminense
Palmeiras

Estádio do Maracanã
3 – 2
Full time
64%
Under 2.5 goals
FL37
Draw29
PA34
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h37%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1SE Palmeiras7542+20
3CR Flamengo7335+13
Brasileirão · 21:30
FLUFLU
PALPAL
Estádio do Maracanã
3 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕64%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
37%
Win FLU
what happened
29%
Draw
34%
Win PAL
37%at opening→37%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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FL winDrawPA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260815_af-1492334_210805hv1.9.354%36%

What would have to change

i21.6 pt span
Red card37 → 15.9-21.1
Opponent scores first37 → 34.2-2.8
Key substitution37 → 36-1
High tempo37 → 36.4-0.6
Low tempo37 → 37.5+0.5
Early goal37 → 370

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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