GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Serie A · — · 21:30
versus

Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino

Arena da Baixada
1 – 1
Full time
56%
Under 2.5 goals
AT50
Draw26
BR24
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h50%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1SE Palmeiras7542+20
3CR Flamengo7335+13
Brasileirão · 23:30
ATLATL
BRABRA
Arena da Baixada
1 – 1
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓56%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
50%
Win ATL
26%
Draw
what happened
24%
Win BRA
50%at opening→50%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AT winDrawBR win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260815_af-1492330_210805hv1.9.354%54%

What would have to change

i21.8 pt span
Red card50 → 28.9-21.1
Opponent scores first50 → 47.2-2.8
Key substitution50 → 49-1
High tempo50 → 49.1-0.9
Low tempo50 → 50.7+0.7
Early goal50 → 500

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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