GRABBLESTATS
Watch🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 23:30
versus

New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union

Sports Illustrated Stadium
Pre-match analysis
54%
Under 2.5 goals
YO31
Draw27
PH42
Head to head
1
YOR
2
Draw
5
PHI
juil. 2026PHI — YOR3 – 1
août 2025YOR — PHI1 – 0
août 2025PHI — YOR3 – 2
juil. 2025PHI — YOR2 – 0
août 2024YOR — PHI0 – 2
juil. 2024PHI — YOR0 – 0
sept. 2023PHI — YOR4 – 1
août 2023PHI — YOR1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h31%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 01:30
YORYOR
PHIPHI
Sports Illustrated Stadium · Pre-match analysis
54%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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YO winDrawPH win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1490424_210805hv1.9.354%43%

What would have to change

i21.8 pt span
Red card42 → 20.9-21.1
Opponent scores first42 → 39.2-2.8
Key substitution42 → 41-1
High tempo42 → 42.7+0.7
Low tempo42 → 41.4-0.6
Early goal42 → 420

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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1
YO wins
2
Draws
5
PH wins
23 Jul 2026PHI — YOR3 – 1
17 Aug 2025YOR — PHI1 – 0
14 Aug 2025PHI — YOR3 – 2
13 Jul 2025PHI — YOR2 – 0
1 Sept 2024YOR — PHI0 – 2
7 Jul 2024PHI — YOR0 – 0
4 Sept 2023PHI — YOR4 – 1
9 Aug 2023PHI — YOR1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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