GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 20:30
versus

Seattle Sounders
Chicago Fire

Lumen Field
Pre-match analysis
71%
Over 2.5 goals
SE54
Draw21
CH25
Head to head
4
SEA
1
Draw
3
CHI
juin 2024SEA — CHI2 – 1
juil. 2022CHI — SEA1 – 0
juil. 2020CHI — SEA2 – 1
mars 2020SEA — CHI2 – 1
mars 2019CHI — SEA2 – 4
juin 2018SEA — CHI1 – 1
mai 2017CHI — SEA4 – 1
sept. 2016SEA — CHI1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h54%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 22:30
SEASEA
CHICHI
Lumen Field · Pre-match analysis
71%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SE winDrawCH win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1490421_210805hv1.9.354%61%

What would have to change

i21.2 pt span
Red card54 → 32.9-21.1
Opponent scores first54 → 51.2-2.8
Key substitution54 → 53-1
High tempo54 → 53.9-0.1
Low tempo54 → 54.1+0.1
Early goal54 → 540

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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4
SE wins
1
Draws
3
CH wins
30 Jun 2024SEA — CHI2 – 1
17 Jul 2022CHI — SEA1 – 0
14 Jul 2020CHI — SEA2 – 1
1 Mar 2020SEA — CHI2 – 1
16 Mar 2019CHI — SEA2 – 4
24 Jun 2018SEA — CHI1 – 1
14 May 2017CHI — SEA4 – 1
29 Sept 2016SEA — CHI1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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