GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Major League Soccer · · 02:30
versus

San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC

PayPal Park
Pre-match analysis
66%
Both teams to score
JO33
Draw23
MI44
Why
San Jose Earthquakes's attack sits at the 75th percentile of the league
Minnesota United FC has 6 declared absences
San Jose Earthquakes scores 2 goals per game at home
What could fool us
San Jose Earthquakes's defence sits at the 22th percentile — among the weakest
San Jose Earthquakes has 6 declared absences
San Jose Earthquakes has lost 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Minnesota United FC at 44%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

JOSJOS
MINMIN
PayPal Park · Pre-match analysis
66%
Both teams to score
33%
JOS
23%
Draw
44%
MIN
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • San Jose Earthquakes's attack sits at the 75th percentile of the league
  • Minnesota United FC has 6 declared absences
  • San Jose Earthquakes scores 2 goals per game at home

What could mislead us

  • San Jose Earthquakes's defence sits at the 22th percentile — among the weakest
  • San Jose Earthquakes has 6 declared absences
  • San Jose Earthquakes has lost 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away draw no betStrength 89.6/100
Away draw no bet
Model
57.2%
Market
44%
Divergence
+13.2

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 57.2%, the market at 44%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

6 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Minnesota United FC at 44%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions