GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 02:30
versus

San Diego
Colorado Rapids

Snapdragon Stadium
Pre-match analysis
69%
Victoire San Diego
SA69
Draw18
CO13
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,00Raw implied probability50,0%Sum of the 1X2 book105,7%Operator margin removed−5,7 ptsDe-margined consensus47%Our model69.4%Measured gap+22.4 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home win—69.4%47%+22.4
Draw or away—30.6%53%−22.4
Away draw no bet—15.7%38%−22.3
Home draw no bet—84.3%63%+21.3
Away over 1.0 goals—39.2%60%−20.8
Away under 1.0 goals—60.8%40%+20.8
Home over 2.0 goals—58.7%39%+19.7
Home under 2.0 goals—41.3%61%−19.7
Away over 1.5 goals—24.8%41%−16.2
Away under 1.5 goals—75.2%59%+16.2
Away win—12.9%28%−15.1
Home over 1.5 goals—69.5%55%+14.5

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

MLS · 04:30
SANSAN
COLCOL
Snapdragon Stadium · Pre-match analysis
69%
Victoire SA

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.972.00▲+0.03%
X3.853.80▼-0.05%
23.403.40•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home winHigh Signal95Home win69.4%47%
95
▲+22.4pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet84.3%63%
95
▲+21.3pp
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals60.8%40%
95
▲+20.8pp
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Home over 2.0 goals58.7%39%
95
▲+19.7pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Away under 1.5 goals75.2%59%
95
▲+16.2pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal93.5Home over 1.5 goals69.5%55%
95
▲+14.5pp
Home over 2.5 goals2.5High Signal93.2Home over 2.5 goals43.4%29%
95
▲+14.4pp
Home or drawHigh Signal92.3Home or draw87.1%73%
95
▲+14.1pp
Draw—Draw17.7%25%
95
▼-7.3pp
Away win—Away win12.9%28%
95
▼-15.1pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 50%model 69%▲+19pp
Xmarket 26%model 18%▼-8pp
2market 29%model 13%▼-16pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.