GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Major League Soccer · · 02:30
versus

Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers

BMO Stadium
Pre-match analysis
66%
Victoire Los Angeles FC
LO66
Draw20
PO14
Why
Los Angeles FC's attack sits at the 88th percentile of the league
Los Angeles FC takes 2.04 points per game at home, the opponent 0.86 away
Portland Timbers has 6 declared absences
Los Angeles FC takes 2.04 points per game at home against 1.43 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Los Angeles FC scores 1.9 goals per game at home
What could fool us
Los Angeles FC has 8 declared absences
Portland Timbers takes 1.85 points per game at home against 0.86 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Portland Timbers has won 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Los Angeles FC at 66%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

LOSLOS
PORPOR
BMO Stadium · Pre-match analysis
66%
Victoire LO
66%
LOS
20%
Draw
14%
POR
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Los Angeles FC's attack sits at the 88th percentile of the league
  • Los Angeles FC takes 2.04 points per game at home, the opponent 0.86 away
  • Portland Timbers has 6 declared absences
  • Los Angeles FC takes 2.04 points per game at home against 1.43 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Los Angeles FC scores 1.9 goals per game at home

What could mislead us

  • Los Angeles FC has 8 declared absences
  • Portland Timbers takes 1.85 points per game at home against 0.86 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Portland Timbers has won 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
64.5%
Market
44%
Divergence
+20.5

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 64.5%, the market at 44%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Los Angeles FC at 66%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions