GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 01:00
versus

Austin
Philadelphia Union

Q2 Stadium
0 – 0
13:00
57%
Under 2.5 goals
AU24
Draw27
PH49
Head to head
0
AUS
2
Draw
1
PHI
mars 2024AUS — PHI2 – 2
janv. 2024AUS — PHI1 – 1
janv. 2023PHI — AUS3 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h24%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 03:0013'
AUSAUS
PHIPHI
Q2 Stadium
0 – 0
13:00

Live intelligence

i13'
Modèle en direct : issue recalculée depuis le score et la minute (Poisson restant sur les intensités d'avant-match). L'intensité est comptée sur les événements horodatés, par tranche de cinq minutes.
Live win probabilityat 0–0, 13'
24%
AU win
29%
Draw
47%
PH win
•0ppvs pre-kick-off model
MomentumRolling 5-minute pressure index
KO13'
Expected goals
0.00—0.00
Scoreline broadly in line with expected goals.
xG trajectory
Observed statistics
Key moments

No significant event recorded yet.

Model changes
  • •0ppxG accumulationChance quality created since kick-off, independent of the scoreline.

Live estimates depend on the event feed. When an event is delayed or missing, the model keeps its previous state rather than inventing one.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
AU winDrawPH win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1490413_210805hv1.9.354%53%

What would have to change

i22.2 pt span
Red card49 → 27.9-21.1
Opponent scores first49 → 46.2-2.8
High tempo49 → 50.1+1.1
Key substitution49 → 48-1
Low tempo49 → 48.1-0.9
Early goal49 → 490

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
0
AU wins
2
Draws
1
PH wins
17 Mar 2024AUS — PHI2 – 2
24 Jan 2024AUS — PHI1 – 1
21 Jan 2023PHI — AUS3 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

i