GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 02:30
versus

Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes

Dignity Health Sports Park
1 – 0
Full time
76%
Over 2.5 goals
AN53
Draw20
JO27
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h53%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 04:30
ANGANG
JOSJOS
Dignity Health Sports Park
1 – 0
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕76%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
53%
Win ANG
what happened
20%
Draw
27%
Win JOS
53%at opening→53%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AN winDrawJO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260820_af-1490403_210805hv1.9.354%61%

What would have to change

i22.8 pt span
Red card53 → 31.9-21.1
Opponent scores first53 → 50.2-2.8
High tempo53 → 54.7+1.7
Low tempo53 → 51.6-1.4
Key substitution53 → 52-1
Early goal53 → 530

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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