GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 00:00
versus

Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City

Children's Mercy Park
1 – 1
Full time
68%
Both teams to score
KA39
Draw23
ST38
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h39%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 02:00
KANKAN
ST.ST.
Children's Mercy Park
1 – 1
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓68%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
39%
Win KAN
23%
Draw
what happened
38%
Win ST.
39%at opening→39%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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KA winDrawST win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260820_af-1490398_210805hv1.9.354%44%

What would have to change

i23.4 pt span
Red card39 → 17.9-21.1
Opponent scores first39 → 36.2-2.8
High tempo39 → 41.3+2.3
Low tempo39 → 37.2-1.8
Key substitution39 → 38-1
Early goal39 → 390

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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