GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 23:30
versus

FC Cincinnati
New York City FC

TQL Stadium
2 – 1
Full time
53%
Both teams to score
FC42
Draw27
NE31
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h42%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 01:30
FC FC
NEWNEW
TQL Stadium
2 – 1
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓53%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
42%
Win FC
what happened
27%
Draw
31%
Win NEW
42%at opening→42%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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FC winDrawNE win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260819_af-1490392_210805hv1.9.354%43%

What would have to change

i21.7 pt span
Red card42 → 20.9-21.1
Opponent scores first42 → 39.2-2.8
Key substitution42 → 41-1
High tempo42 → 41.3-0.7
Low tempo42 → 42.6+0.6
Early goal42 → 420

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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