GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 22:00
versus

Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers

Soldier Field
2 – 1
Full time
67%
Over 2.5 goals
CH55
Draw21
PO24
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h55%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 00:00
CHICHI
PORPOR
Soldier Field
2 – 1
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓67%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
55%
Win CHI
what happened
21%
Draw
24%
Win POR
55%at opening→55%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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CH winDrawPO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1490389_210805hv1.9.354%62%

What would have to change

i21.6 pt span
Red card55 → 33.9-21.1
Opponent scores first55 → 52.2-2.8
Key substitution55 → 54-1
High tempo55 → 54.4-0.6
Low tempo55 → 55.5+0.5
Early goal55 → 550

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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