GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Major League Soccer · — · 02:30
versus

San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City

PayPal Park
1 – 3
Full time
71%
Over 2.5 goals
JO48
Draw21
ST31
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h48%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

MLS · 04:30
JOSJOS
ST.ST.
PayPal Park
1 – 3
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓71%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
48%
Win JOS
21%
Draw
31%
Win ST.
what happened
48%at opening→48%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
JO winDrawST win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1490387_210805hv1.9.354%55%

What would have to change

i21.6 pt span
Red card48 → 26.9-21.1
Opponent scores first48 → 45.2-2.8
Key substitution48 → 47-1
High tempo48 → 48.5+0.5
Low tempo48 → 47.6-0.4
Early goal48 → 480

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Notes

i