GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Ligue 1 · · 15:30
versus

ES Tunis
ES Sahel

Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire ES Tunis
ES75
Draw17
ES8
Why
ES Tunis's attack sits at the 97th percentile of the league
ES Tunis takes 2.32 points per game at home, the opponent 1.28 away
ES Sahel has lost 4 of its last 6
ES Tunis has won 7 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
ES Sahel's attack sits at the 72th percentile of the league
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices ES Tunis at 75%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

ESTEST
ESSESS
Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi · Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire ES
75%
EST
17%
Draw
8%
ESS
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • ES Tunis's attack sits at the 97th percentile of the league
  • ES Tunis takes 2.32 points per game at home, the opponent 1.28 away
  • ES Sahel has lost 4 of its last 6
  • ES Tunis has won 7 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • ES Sahel's attack sits at the 72th percentile of the league
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Home winStrength 78.8/100
Home win
Model
74.6%
Market
65%
Divergence
+9.6

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 74.6%, the market at 65%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

2 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices ES Tunis at 75%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions