GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇮🇹 Serie B · · 19:00
versus

Benevento
Modena

Stadio Ciro Vigorito · Referee e-manedo-mazzoni
10
Full time
66%
Under 2.5 goals
BE30
Draw34
MO36
Why
Modena has lost 4 of its last 6
What could fool us
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Modena at 36%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

BENBEN
MODMOD
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
10
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed66%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
30%
Win BEN
what happened
34%
Draw
36%
Win MOD
30%at opening30%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Modena has lost 4 of its last 6

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Home under 1.0 goals
Model
59.2%
Market
38%
Divergence
+21.2

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 59.2%, the market at 38%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
e-manedo-mazzoni
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Modena at 36%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions