GRABBLESTATS
Watch🇹🇷 Süper Lig · · 18:30
versus

Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş

Alanya Oba Stadium · Referee a-d-kayatepe
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
AL30
Draw30
BE40
Why
Beşiktaş has 4 declared absences
What could fool us
Beşiktaş's attack sits at the 84th percentile of the league
4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Beşiktaş at 40%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

ALAALA
BEŞBEŞ
Alanya Oba Stadium · Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
30%
ALA
30%
Draw
40%
BEŞ
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Beşiktaş has 4 declared absences

What could mislead us

  • Beşiktaş's attack sits at the 84th percentile of the league
  • 4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away under 2.0 goals2Strength 86.9/100
Away under 2.0 goals
Model
78.3%
Market
66%
Divergence
+12.3

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 78.3%, the market at 66%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

7 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
a-d-kayatepe
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Beşiktaş at 40%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions