GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 17:00
versus

Casa Pia
Moreirense

—
Pre-match analysis
64%
Under 2.5 goals
CA38
Draw29
MO33
Head to head
3
CAS
1
Draw
3
MOR
mars 2026CAS — MOR1 – 1
sept. 2025MOR — CAS2 – 1
févr. 2025MOR — CAS3 – 2
sept. 2024CAS — MOR3 – 1
mai 2024CAS — MOR0 – 1
janv. 2024MOR — CAS1 – 4
juil. 2023CAS — MOR1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h38%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 19:00
CASCAS
MORMOR
— · Pre-match analysis
64%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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CA winDrawMO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260830_af-1575478_210805hv1.9.354%37%

What would have to change

i23.2 pt span
Red card38 → 16.9-21.1
Opponent scores first38 → 35.2-2.8
High tempo38 → 40.1+2.1
Low tempo38 → 36.3-1.7
Key substitution38 → 37-1
Early goal38 → 380

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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3
CA wins
1
Draws
3
MO wins
1 Mar 2026CAS — MOR1 – 1
27 Sept 2025MOR — CAS2 – 1
15 Feb 2025MOR — CAS3 – 2
14 Sept 2024CAS — MOR3 – 1
12 May 2024CAS — MOR0 – 1
8 Jan 2024MOR — CAS1 – 4
19 Jul 2023CAS — MOR1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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