GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 14:30
versus

Arouca
Maritimo

—
Pre-match analysis
64%
Victoire Arouca
AR64
Draw19
MA17
Head to head
4
ARO
2
Draw
2
MAR
avr. 2023ARO — MAR1 – 0
oct. 2022MAR — ARO1 – 1
févr. 2022ARO — MAR0 – 3
sept. 2021MAR — ARO2 – 2
mars 2017MAR — ARO3 – 1
oct. 2016ARO — MAR1 – 0
avr. 2016MAR — ARO1 – 2
déc. 2015ARO — MAR4 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h64%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 16:30
AROARO
MARMAR
— · Pre-match analysis
64%
Victoire AR

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AR winDrawMA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1575475_210805hv1.9.354%75%

What would have to change

i21.8 pt span
Red card64 → 42.9-21.1
Opponent scores first64 → 61.2-2.8
Key substitution64 → 63-1
High tempo64 → 64.7+0.7
Low tempo64 → 63.4-0.6
Early goal64 → 640

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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4
AR wins
2
Draws
2
MA wins
8 Apr 2023ARO — MAR1 – 0
23 Oct 2022MAR — ARO1 – 1
14 Feb 2022ARO — MAR0 – 3
13 Sept 2021MAR — ARO2 – 2
19 Mar 2017MAR — ARO3 – 1
30 Oct 2016ARO — MAR1 – 0
24 Apr 2016MAR — ARO1 – 2
19 Dec 2015ARO — MAR4 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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