GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 17:00
versus

Estoril
Rio Ave

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota · Referee c-macedo
0 – 2
Full time
63%
Over 2.5 goals
ES60
Draw20
RI20
Head to head
3
EST
3
Draw
2
RIO
mars 2026EST — RIO1 – 2
nov. 2025RIO — EST0 – 4
févr. 2025EST — RIO2 – 1
sept. 2024RIO — EST2 – 2
janv. 2024RIO — EST1 – 1
août 2023EST — RIO2 – 0
févr. 2023RIO — EST2 – 0
août 2022EST — RIO2 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h60%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 19:00
ESTEST
RIORIO
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
0 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕63%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
60%
Win EST
20%
Draw
20%
Win RIO
what happened
60%at opening→60%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
ES winDrawRI win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1575464_210805hv1.9.354%68%

What would have to change

i22.4 pt span
Red card60 → 38.9-21.1
Opponent scores first60 → 57.2-2.8
High tempo60 → 61.3+1.3
Low tempo60 → 59-1
Key substitution60 → 59-1
Early goal60 → 600

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
3
ES wins
3
Draws
2
RI wins
22 Mar 2026EST — RIO1 – 2
1 Nov 2025RIO — EST0 – 4
22 Feb 2025EST — RIO2 – 1
21 Sept 2024RIO — EST2 – 2
31 Jan 2024RIO — EST1 – 1
20 Aug 2023EST — RIO2 – 0
13 Feb 2023RIO — EST2 – 0
19 Aug 2022EST — RIO2 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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