GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 19:30
versus

Famalicao
Maritimo

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
1 – 2
Full time
69%
Victoire Famalicao
FA69
Draw20
MA11
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h69%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 21:30
FAMFAM
MARMAR
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
1 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕69%Famalicao win · announced before kick-off
69%
Win FAM
20%
Draw
11%
Win MAR
what happened
69%at opening→69%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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FA winDrawMA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1575460_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i21.3 pt span
Red card69 → 47.9-21.1
Opponent scores first69 → 66.2-2.8
Key substitution69 → 68-1
High tempo69 → 68.8-0.2
Low tempo69 → 69.2+0.2
Early goal69 → 690

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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