GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 19:15
versus

Casa Pia
Benfica

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
0 – 7
Full time
74%
Victoire Benfica
CA9
Draw17
BE74
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h9%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 21:15
CASCAS
BENBEN
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
0 – 7
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓74%Benfica win · announced before kick-off
9%
Win CAS
17%
Draw
74%
Win BEN
what happened
9%at opening→9%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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CA winDrawBE win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260817_af-1575459_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i23.2 pt span
Red card74 → 52.9-21.1
Opponent scores first74 → 71.2-2.8
High tempo74 → 76.1+2.1
Low tempo74 → 72.3-1.7
Key substitution74 → 73-1
Early goal74 → 740

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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