GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Primeira Liga · — · 17:00
versus

Arouca
Moreirense

Estádio Municipal de Arouca
4 – 0
Full time
55%
Both teams to score
AR52
Draw23
MO25
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h52%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Sporting CP7646+28
2SL Benfica7543+23
Primeira Liga · 19:00
AROARO
MORMOR
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
4 – 0
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕55%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
52%
Win ARO
what happened
23%
Draw
25%
Win MOR
52%at opening→52%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
AR winDrawMO win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1575457_210805hv1.9.354%57%

What would have to change

i21.8 pt span
Red card52 → 30.9-21.1
Opponent scores first52 → 49.2-2.8
Key substitution52 → 51-1
High tempo52 → 52.7+0.7
Low tempo52 → 51.4-0.6
Early goal52 → 520

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

i

Notes

i