GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇩🇪 Bundesliga · — · 13:30
versus

Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin

BayArena
Pre-match analysis
66%
Victoire Bayer Leverkusen
BA66
Draw19
UN15
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
22/08 16h66%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1FC Bayern München8646+38
4RB Leipzig7534+10
Bundesliga · 15:30
BAYBAY
UNIUNI
BayArena · Pre-match analysis
66%
Victoire BA

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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BA winDrawUN win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
22/08 16hprd_20260905_af-1575151_220816hv1.9.354%79%

What would have to change

i21.7 pt span
Red card66 → 44.9-21.1
Opponent scores first66 → 63.2-2.8
Key substitution66 → 65-1
High tempo66 → 65.2-0.8
Low tempo66 → 66.6+0.6
Early goal66 → 660

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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