GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇩🇪 Bundesliga · — · 13:30
versus

1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund

PreZero Arena
Pre-match analysis
65%
Over 2.5 goals
HO25
Draw23
DO52
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
22/08 16h25%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1FC Bayern München8646+38
4RB Leipzig7534+10
Bundesliga · 15:30
HOFHOF
DORDOR
PreZero Arena · Pre-match analysis
65%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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HO winDrawDO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
22/08 16hprd_20260905_af-1575150_220816hv1.9.354%57%

What would have to change

i21.3 pt span
Red card52 → 30.9-21.1
Opponent scores first52 → 49.2-2.8
Key substitution52 → 51-1
High tempo52 → 51.7-0.3
Low tempo52 → 52.2+0.2
Early goal52 → 520

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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