GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇩🇪 Bundesliga · — · 18:30
versus

VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln

MHPArena
Pre-match analysis
75%
Over 2.5 goals
ST70
Draw16
KO14
Head to head
6
STU
2
Draw
0
KOL
févr. 2026STU — KOL3 – 1
sept. 2025KOL — STU1 – 2
févr. 2024STU — KOL1 – 1
sept. 2023KOL — STU0 – 2
févr. 2023STU — KOL3 – 0
nov. 2022KOL — STU2 – 4
août 2022KOL — STU0 – 0
mai 2022STU — KOL2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 23h70%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1FC Bayern München8646+38
4RB Leipzig7534+10
Bundesliga · 20:30
STUSTU
KOLKOL
MHPArena · Pre-match analysis
75%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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ST winDrawKO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 23hprd_20260904_af-1575149_210823hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i21.6 pt span
Red card70 → 48.9-21.1
Opponent scores first70 → 67.2-2.8
Key substitution70 → 69-1
High tempo70 → 69.4-0.6
Low tempo70 → 70.5+0.5
Early goal70 → 700

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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6
ST wins
2
Draws
0
KO wins
14 Feb 2026STU — KOL3 – 1
28 Sept 2025KOL — STU1 – 2
24 Feb 2024STU — KOL1 – 1
30 Sept 2023KOL — STU0 – 2
18 Feb 2023STU — KOL3 – 0
19 Nov 2022KOL — STU2 – 4
28 Aug 2022KOL — STU0 – 0
14 May 2022STU — KOL2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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