GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇩🇪 Bundesliga · — · 16:30
versus

Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV

Signal Iduna Park
Pre-match analysis
70%
Victoire Borussia Dortmund
DO70
Draw19
HA11
Head to head
6
DOR
1
Draw
1
HAM
mars 2026DOR — HAM3 – 2
nov. 2025HAM — DOR1 – 1
févr. 2018DOR — HAM2 – 0
sept. 2017HAM — DOR0 – 3
avr. 2017DOR — HAM3 – 0
nov. 2016HAM — DOR2 – 5
avr. 2016DOR — HAM3 – 0
nov. 2015HAM — DOR3 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h70%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1FC Bayern München8646+38
4RB Leipzig7534+10
Bundesliga · 18:30
DORDOR
HAMHAM
Signal Iduna Park · Pre-match analysis
70%
Victoire DO

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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DO winDrawHA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1575142_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i22.9 pt span
Red card70 → 48.9-21.1
Opponent scores first70 → 67.2-2.8
High tempo70 → 67.7-2.3
Low tempo70 → 71.8+1.8
Key substitution70 → 69-1
Early goal70 → 700

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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6
DO wins
1
Draws
1
HA wins
21 Mar 2026DOR — HAM3 – 2
8 Nov 2025HAM — DOR1 – 1
10 Feb 2018DOR — HAM2 – 0
20 Sept 2017HAM — DOR0 – 3
4 Apr 2017DOR — HAM3 – 0
5 Nov 2016HAM — DOR2 – 5
17 Apr 2016DOR — HAM3 – 0
20 Nov 2015HAM — DOR3 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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