GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇪🇸 La Liga · · 19:00
versus

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo

Anoeta
Pre-match analysis
66%
Over 2.5 goals
RS46
Draw21
CE33
Why
Real Sociedad takes 1.44 points per game at home against 0.81 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could fool us
Celta Vigo's attack sits at the 73th percentile of the league
Real Sociedad's defence sits at the 2th percentile — among the weakest
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Real Sociedad at 46%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

RSORSO
CELCEL
Anoeta · Pre-match analysis
66%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
RSO
21%
Draw
33%
CEL
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Real Sociedad takes 1.44 points per game at home against 0.81 away — two different sides depending on the ground

What could mislead us

  • Celta Vigo's attack sits at the 73th percentile of the league
  • Real Sociedad's defence sits at the 2th percentile — among the weakest
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Real Sociedad at 46%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions