GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 19:30
versus

Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano

Camp Nou
Pre-match analysis
72%
Victoire Barcelona
BA72
Draw17
RA11
Head to head
4
BAR
3
Draw
1
RAY
mars 2026BAR — RAY1 – 0
août 2025RAY — BAR1 – 1
févr. 2025BAR — RAY1 – 0
août 2024RAY — BAR1 – 2
mai 2024BAR — RAY3 – 0
nov. 2023RAY — BAR1 – 1
avr. 2023RAY — BAR2 – 1
août 2022BAR — RAY0 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h72%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2FC Barcelona8445+34
17Valencia CF6318−15
La Liga · 21:30
BARBAR
RAYRAY
Camp Nou · Pre-match analysis
72%
Victoire BA

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
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Evolution over time

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BA winDrawRA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260831_af-1570354_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i26.1 pt span
Leading box presence absent72 → 46.8-25.2
Red card72 → 50.9-21.1
Opponent scores first72 → 69.2-2.8
Key substitution72 → 71-1
High tempo72 → 72.9+0.9
Low tempo72 → 71.3-0.7
Early goal72 → 720

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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4
BA wins
3
Draws
1
RA wins
22 Mar 2026BAR — RAY1 – 0
31 Aug 2025RAY — BAR1 – 1
17 Feb 2025BAR — RAY1 – 0
27 Aug 2024RAY — BAR1 – 2
19 May 2024BAR — RAY3 – 0
25 Nov 2023RAY — BAR1 – 1
26 Apr 2023RAY — BAR2 – 1
13 Aug 2022BAR — RAY0 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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