GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · · 17:30
versus

Osasuna
Levante

Estadio El Sadar
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
OS47
Draw24
LE29
Why
Levante's defence sits at the 17th percentile — among the weakest
Osasuna takes 1.8 points per game at home, the opponent 1.07 away
Osasuna takes 1.8 points per game at home against 0.65 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could fool us
Levante takes 1.73 points per game at home against 1.07 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Osasuna has lost 5 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Osasuna at 47%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

OSAOSA
LEVLEV
Estadio El Sadar · Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
47%
OSA
24%
Draw
29%
LEV
▼ −2 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Levante's defence sits at the 17th percentile — among the weakest
  • Osasuna takes 1.8 points per game at home, the opponent 1.07 away
  • Osasuna takes 1.8 points per game at home against 0.65 away — two different sides depending on the ground

What could mislead us

  • Levante takes 1.73 points per game at home against 1.07 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Osasuna has lost 5 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Away over 1.0 goals1Strength 84.8/100
Away over 1.0 goals
Model
51.6%
Market
40%
Divergence
+11.6

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 51.6%, the market at 40%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

4 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Osasuna at 47%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions