GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 15:00
versus

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal

Metropolitano Stadium
Pre-match analysis
67%
Over 2.5 goals
AT45
Draw22
VI33
Head to head
3
ATM
3
Draw
2
VIL
mai 2026VIL — ATM5 – 1
sept. 2025ATM — VIL2 – 0
janv. 2025ATM — VIL1 – 1
août 2024VIL — ATM2 – 2
avr. 2024VIL — ATM1 – 2
nov. 2023ATM — VIL3 – 1
juin 2023VIL — ATM2 – 2
août 2022ATM — VIL0 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h45%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2FC Barcelona8445+34
17Valencia CF6318−15
La Liga · 17:00
ATMATM
VILVIL
Metropolitano Stadium · Pre-match analysis
67%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AT winDrawVI win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1570344_210805hv1.9.354%51%

What would have to change

i23.8 pt span
Red card45 → 23.9-21.1
Opponent scores first45 → 42.2-2.8
High tempo45 → 47.7+2.7
Low tempo45 → 42.8-2.2
Key substitution45 → 44-1
Early goal45 → 450

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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3
AT wins
3
Draws
2
VI wins
24 May 2026VIL — ATM5 – 1
13 Sept 2025ATM — VIL2 – 0
25 Jan 2025ATM — VIL1 – 1
19 Aug 2024VIL — ATM2 – 2
1 Apr 2024VIL — ATM1 – 2
12 Nov 2023ATM — VIL3 – 1
4 Jun 2023VIL — ATM2 – 2
21 Aug 2022ATM — VIL0 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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