GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · · 15:00
versus

Athletic Club
Sevilla

San Mamés
13
Full time
52%
Both teams to score
BI49
Draw24
SE27
Why
Sevilla's defence sits at the 7th percentile — among the weakest
Athletic Club takes 1.64 points per game at home, the opponent 0.85 away
Sevilla has 8 declared absences
Athletic Club takes 1.64 points per game at home against 1 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Sevilla concedes 1.8 goals per game away
What could fool us
Athletic Club has 12 declared absences
Athletic Club has lost 4 of its last 6
Sevilla has won 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Athletic Club at 49%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

BILBIL
SEVSEV
San Mamés
13
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed52%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
49%
Win BIL
24%
Draw
27%
Win SEV
what happened
57%at opening49%at kick-off8 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Sevilla's defence sits at the 7th percentile — among the weakest
  • Athletic Club takes 1.64 points per game at home, the opponent 0.85 away
  • Sevilla has 8 declared absences
  • Athletic Club takes 1.64 points per game at home against 1 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Sevilla concedes 1.8 goals per game away

What could mislead us

  • Athletic Club has 12 declared absences
  • Athletic Club has lost 4 of its last 6
  • Sevilla has won 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away over 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Away over 1.0 goals
Model
46.3%
Market
30%
Divergence
+16.3

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 46.3%, the market at 30%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

6 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Athletic Club at 49%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions