GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇪🇸 La Liga · · 19:00
versus

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad

Pre-match analysis
77%
Victoire Real Madrid
RE77
Draw13
RS10
Why
Real Madrid's attack sits at the 93th percentile of the league
Real Sociedad's defence sits at the 2th percentile — among the weakest
Real Madrid takes 2.58 points per game at home, the opponent 0.81 away
Real Madrid takes 2.58 points per game at home against 1.96 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Real Madrid has won 4 of its last 6
Real Madrid scores 2.3 goals per game at home
Real Madrid has won 7 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Real Sociedad takes 1.44 points per game at home against 0.81 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Real Madrid at 77%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

REAREA
RSORSO
· Pre-match analysis
77%
Victoire RE
77%
REA
13%
Draw
10%
RSO
▲ +8 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Real Madrid's attack sits at the 93th percentile of the league
  • Real Sociedad's defence sits at the 2th percentile — among the weakest
  • Real Madrid takes 2.58 points per game at home, the opponent 0.81 away
  • Real Madrid takes 2.58 points per game at home against 1.96 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Real Madrid has won 4 of its last 6
  • Real Madrid scores 2.3 goals per game at home
  • Real Madrid has won 7 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Real Sociedad takes 1.44 points per game at home against 0.81 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home over 2.0 goals2Strength 95/100
Home over 2.0 goals
Model
72%
Market
54%
Divergence
+18

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 72%, the market at 54%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Real Madrid at 77%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions