GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · · 18:30
versus

Celta Vigo
Osasuna

Pre-match analysis
58%
Victoire Celta Vigo
CE58
Draw22
OS20
Why
Celta Vigo's attack sits at the 78th percentile of the league
Osasuna's defence sits at the 22th percentile — among the weakest
Celta Vigo takes 1.89 points per game at home, the opponent 0.84 away
What could fool us
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Celta Vigo at 58%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

CELCEL
OSAOSA
· Pre-match analysis
58%
Victoire CE
58%
CEL
22%
Draw
20%
OSA
▲ +10 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Celta Vigo's attack sits at the 78th percentile of the league
  • Osasuna's defence sits at the 22th percentile — among the weakest
  • Celta Vigo takes 1.89 points per game at home, the opponent 0.84 away

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Home over 2.0 goals2Strength 85.1/100
Home over 2.0 goals
Model
36.7%
Market
25%
Divergence
+11.7

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 36.7%, the market at 25%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

5 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Celta Vigo at 58%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions