GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇷🇺 Premier League · · 17:00
versus

Spartak Moscow
Zenit

Lukoil Arena · Referee i-tanashev
Pre-match analysis
62%
Under 2.5 goals
SP24
Draw28
ZE48
Head to head
1
SPA
5
Draw
2
ZEN
juil. 2026ZENSPA11
avr. 2026ZENSPA00
mars 2026ZENSPA20
août 2025SPAZEN22
mars 2025SPAZEN21
févr. 2025SPAZEN03
août 2024ZENSPA00
avr. 2024ZENSPA00

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
22/08 05h24%
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

SPASPA
ZENZEN
Lukoil Arena · Pre-match analysis
62%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()

Evolution over time

i
SP winDrawZE win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
22/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1561370_220805hv1.9.354%52%

What would have to change

i21.8 pt span
Red card4826.9-21.1
Opponent scores first4845.2-2.8
Key substitution4847-1
High tempo4847.1-0.9
Low tempo4848.7+0.7
Early goal48480

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
1
SP wins
5
Draws
2
ZE wins
18 Jul 2026ZENSPA11
8 Apr 2026ZENSPA00
14 Mar 2026ZENSPA20
16 Aug 2025SPAZEN22
16 Mar 2025SPAZEN21
11 Feb 2025SPAZEN03
24 Aug 2024ZENSPA00
17 Apr 2024ZENSPA00

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

Notes

i