GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇷🇺 Premier League · · 10:00
versus

Akron
Krylia Sovetov

Samara Arena · Referee a-prokopov
Pre-match analysis
65%
Both teams to score
AK43
Draw23
KR34
Why
Krylia Sovetov's defence sits at the 19th percentile — among the weakest
Krylia Sovetov concedes 2 goals per game away
What could fool us
Akron's defence sits at the 8th percentile — among the weakest
Akron has 4 declared absences
Krylia Sovetov takes 1.48 points per game at home against 0.57 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Akron at 43%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

AKRAKR
KRYKRY
Samara Arena · Pre-match analysis
65%
Both teams to score
43%
AKR
23%
Draw
34%
KRY
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Krylia Sovetov's defence sits at the 19th percentile — among the weakest
  • Krylia Sovetov concedes 2 goals per game away

What could mislead us

  • Akron's defence sits at the 8th percentile — among the weakest
  • Akron has 4 declared absences
  • Krylia Sovetov takes 1.48 points per game at home against 0.57 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home over 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Home over 1.0 goals
Model
75.1%
Market
60%
Divergence
+15.1

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 75.1%, the market at 60%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
a-prokopov
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Akron at 43%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions