GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇷🇺 Premier League · · 15:00
versus

Akhmat
FC Rostov

Akhmat-Arena · Referee y-bobrovskiy
41
Full time
70%
Under 2.5 goals
AK41
Draw32
FC27
Why
Akhmat takes 1.77 points per game at home against 0.58 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could fool us
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Akhmat at 41%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

AKHAKH
FC FC
Akhmat-Arena
41
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted70%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
41%
Win AKH
what happened
32%
Draw
27%
Win FC
41%at opening41%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Akhmat takes 1.77 points per game at home against 0.58 away — two different sides depending on the ground

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
68.2%
Market
51%
Divergence
+17.2

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 68.2%, the market at 51%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
y-bobrovskiy
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Akhmat at 41%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions