GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇧🇪 Jupiler Pro League · — · 16:30
versus

KV Mechelen
Standard Liege

Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne
3 – 3
Full time
59%
Under 2.5 goals
KV36
Draw31
ST33
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 23h36%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

jupiler · 18:30
KV KV
STASTA
Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne
3 – 3
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕59%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
36%
Win KV
31%
Draw
what happened
33%
Win STA
36%at opening→36%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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KV winDrawST win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 23hprd_20260816_af-1558597_210823hv1.9.354%33%

What would have to change

i21.9 pt span
Red card36 → 14.9-21.1
Opponent scores first36 → 33.2-2.8
Key substitution36 → 35-1
High tempo36 → 36.8+0.8
Low tempo36 → 35.4-0.6
Early goal36 → 360

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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