GRABBLESTATS
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versus

Brighton
Aston Villa

Amex Stadium · Referee p-bankes
Pre-match analysis
59%
Both teams to score
BR41
Draw27
AS32
Head to head
1
BRI
2
Draw
5
AST
févr. 2026AST — BRI1 – 0
déc. 2025BRI — AST3 – 4
avr. 2025BRI — AST0 – 3
déc. 2024AST — BRI2 – 2
mai 2024BRI — AST1 – 0
sept. 2023AST — BRI6 – 1
mai 2023AST — BRI2 – 1
déc. 2022AST — BRI2 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h41%—
Our past analyses in this competition
total-goals · announced at 64%0,13Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 63%0,14Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
total-goals · announced at 79%0,62Refuted
total-goals · announced at 71%0,50Refuted
total-goals · announced at 72%0,08Confirmed

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Liverpool FC8553+30
2Arsenal FC8347+26
Premier League · 15:00
BRIBRI
ASTAST
Amex Stadium · Pre-match analysis
59%
Both teams to score

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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BR winDrawAS win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1557373_210805hv1.9.354%42%

What would have to change

i22 pt span
Red card41 → 19.9-21.1
Opponent scores first41 → 38.2-2.8
Key substitution41 → 40-1
High tempo41 → 41.9+0.9
Low tempo41 → 40.3-0.7
Early goal41 → 410

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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1
BR wins
2
Draws
5
AS wins
11 Feb 2026AST — BRI1 – 0
3 Dec 2025BRI — AST3 – 4
2 Apr 2025BRI — AST0 – 3
30 Dec 2024AST — BRI2 – 2
5 May 2024BRI — AST1 – 0
30 Sept 2023AST — BRI6 – 1
28 May 2023AST — BRI2 – 1
8 Dec 2022AST — BRI2 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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