GRABBLESTATS
No signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · · 14:00
versus

Ipswich
Sunderland

Portman Road Stadium · Referee f-hallam
21
Full time
54%
Under 2.5 goals
IP20
Draw27
SU53
Why
Ipswich's attack sits at the 94th percentile of the league
Ipswich takes 1.79 points per game at home, the opponent 1.26 away
What could fool us
Ipswich has 4 declared absences
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Sunderland at 53%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

IPSIPS
SUNSUN
Portman Road Stadium
21
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted54%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
20%
Win IPS
what happened
27%
Draw
53%
Win SUN
22%at opening20%at kick-off+2 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Ipswich's attack sits at the 94th percentile of the league
  • Ipswich takes 1.79 points per game at home, the opponent 1.26 away

What could mislead us

  • Ipswich has 4 declared absences
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away draw no betStrength 95/100
Away draw no bet
Model
72.2%
Market
51%
Divergence
+21.2

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 72.2%, the market at 51%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
f-hallam
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 22
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Sunderland at 53%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions