GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · · 14:00
versus

Heart Of Midlothian
ST Johnstone

Tynecastle Park
Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire Heart Of Midlothian
HE75
Draw18
ST7
Why
Heart Of Midlothian's attack sits at the 82th percentile of the league
Heart Of Midlothian takes 2.44 points per game at home, the opponent 0.17 away
Heart Of Midlothian takes 2.44 points per game at home against 1.52 away — two different sides depending on the ground
ST Johnstone has lost 4 of its last 6
Heart Of Midlothian scores 1.9 goals per game at home
Heart Of Midlothian has won 8 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Heart Of Midlothian at 75%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

HEAHEA
ST ST
Tynecastle Park · Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire HE
75%
HEA
18%
Draw
7%
ST
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Heart Of Midlothian's attack sits at the 82th percentile of the league
  • Heart Of Midlothian takes 2.44 points per game at home, the opponent 0.17 away
  • Heart Of Midlothian takes 2.44 points per game at home against 1.52 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • ST Johnstone has lost 4 of its last 6
  • Heart Of Midlothian scores 1.9 goals per game at home
  • Heart Of Midlothian has won 8 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
85.5%
Market
59%
Divergence
+26.5

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 85.5%, the market at 59%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Heart Of Midlothian at 75%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions