GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · · 14:00
versus

Hibernian
Kilmarnock

Easter Road
Pre-match analysis
64%
Victoire Hibernian
HI64
Draw21
KI15
Why
Hibernian's attack sits at the 75th percentile of the league
Kilmarnock's defence sits at the 11th percentile — among the weakest
Hibernian takes 1.75 points per game at home, the opponent 0.72 away
Hibernian scores 2 goals per game at home
Kilmarnock concedes 2.3 goals per game away
What could fool us
4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
Kilmarnock takes 1.4 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Kilmarnock has won 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Hibernian at 64%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

HIBHIB
KILKIL
Easter Road · Pre-match analysis
64%
Victoire HI
64%
HIB
21%
Draw
15%
KIL
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Hibernian's attack sits at the 75th percentile of the league
  • Kilmarnock's defence sits at the 11th percentile — among the weakest
  • Hibernian takes 1.75 points per game at home, the opponent 0.72 away
  • Hibernian scores 2 goals per game at home
  • Kilmarnock concedes 2.3 goals per game away

What could mislead us

  • 4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
  • Kilmarnock takes 1.4 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Kilmarnock has won 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Hibernian at 64%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions