GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 18:45
versus

Toulouse
Lille

Stadium de Toulouse
Pre-match analysis
62%
Under 2.5 goals
TO28
Draw32
LI40
Head to head
1
TOU
1
Draw
6
LIL
avr. 2026TOU — LIL0 – 4
sept. 2025LIL — TOU2 – 1
avr. 2025TOU — LIL1 – 2
oct. 2024LIL — TOU2 – 1
févr. 2024TOU — LIL3 – 1
nov. 2023LIL — TOU1 – 1
mars 2023TOU — LIL0 – 2
sept. 2022LIL — TOU2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h28%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 20:45
TOUTOU
LILLIL
Stadium de Toulouse · Pre-match analysis
62%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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TO winDrawLI win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260903_af-1552754_210805hv1.9.354%40%

What would have to change

i24.9 pt span
Red card40 → 18.9-21.1
High tempo40 → 43.8+3.8
Low tempo40 → 37-3
Opponent scores first40 → 37.2-2.8
Key substitution40 → 39-1
Early goal40 → 400

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

i
1
TO wins
1
Draws
6
LI wins
12 Apr 2026TOU — LIL0 – 4
14 Sept 2025LIL — TOU2 – 1
12 Apr 2025TOU — LIL1 – 2
5 Oct 2024LIL — TOU2 – 1
25 Feb 2024TOU — LIL3 – 1
12 Nov 2023LIL — TOU1 – 1
18 Mar 2023TOU — LIL0 – 2
17 Sept 2022LIL — TOU2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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