GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 15:15
versus

Lens
Lorient

Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Pre-match analysis
62%
Over 2.5 goals
LE57
Draw24
LO19
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
22/08 16h57%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 17:15
LENLEN
LORLOR
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Pre-match analysis
62%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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LE winDrawLO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
22/08 16hprd_20260905_af-1552749_220816hv1.9.354%66%

What would have to change

i22.1 pt span
Red card57 → 35.9-21.1
Opponent scores first57 → 54.2-2.8
High tempo57 → 55.7-1.3
Low tempo57 → 58+1
Key substitution57 → 56-1
Early goal57 → 570

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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