GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 18:45
versus

Lille
Paris Saint Germain

Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Pre-match analysis
64%
Under 2.5 goals
LI25
Draw33
PS42
Head to head
0
LIL
2
Draw
6
PSG
janv. 2026PSG — LIL3 – 0
oct. 2025LIL — PSG1 – 1
mars 2025PSG — LIL4 – 1
sept. 2024LIL — PSG1 – 3
févr. 2024PSG — LIL3 – 1
déc. 2023LIL — PSG1 – 1
févr. 2023PSG — LIL4 – 3
août 2022LIL — PSG1 – 7

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h25%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 20:45
LILLIL
PSGPSG
Stade Pierre-Mauroy · Pre-match analysis
64%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
LI winDrawPS win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260828_af-1552746_210805hv1.9.354%45%

What would have to change

i23.3 pt span
Red card42 → 20.9-21.1
Opponent scores first42 → 39.2-2.8
High tempo42 → 39.2-2.8
Low tempo42 → 44.2+2.2
Key substitution42 → 41-1
Early goal42 → 420

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
0
LI wins
2
Draws
6
PS wins
16 Jan 2026PSG — LIL3 – 0
5 Oct 2025LIL — PSG1 – 1
1 Mar 2025PSG — LIL4 – 1
1 Sept 2024LIL — PSG1 – 3
10 Feb 2024PSG — LIL3 – 1
17 Dec 2023LIL — PSG1 – 1
19 Feb 2023PSG — LIL4 – 3
21 Aug 2022LIL — PSG1 – 7

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

i