GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · · 15:15
versus

Lens
Auxerre

Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Referee m-vernice
52
Full time
55%
Victoire Lens
LE55
Draw26
AU19
Why
Lens's attack sits at the 86th percentile of the league
Lens takes 2.22 points per game at home, the opponent 0.96 away
Auxerre has 16 declared absences
Lens scores 1.9 goals per game at home
Lens has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Lens has 10 declared absences
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Lens at 55%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

LENLEN
AUXAUX
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
52
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed55%Lens win · announced before kick-off
55%
Win LEN
what happened
26%
Draw
19%
Win AUX
62%at opening55%at kick-off7 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Lens's attack sits at the 86th percentile of the league
  • Lens takes 2.22 points per game at home, the opponent 0.96 away
  • Auxerre has 16 declared absences
  • Lens scores 1.9 goals per game at home
  • Lens has won 5 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Lens has 10 declared absences
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Home under 2.0 goals2Strength 79.4/100
Home under 2.0 goals
Model
62.8%
Market
53%
Divergence
+9.8

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 62.8%, the market at 53%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

Context snapshot

Referee
m-vernice
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Lens at 55%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions