GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · · 13:00
versus

Angers
Lille

Stade Raymond-Kopa · Referee j-stinat
Pre-match analysis
72%
Under 2.5 goals
AN14
Draw33
LI53
Why
Lille has 4 declared absences
What could fool us
Angers's defence sits at the 28th percentile — among the weakest
Lille has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Lille at 53%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

ANGANG
LILLIL
Stade Raymond-Kopa · Pre-match analysis
72%
Under 2.5 goals
14%
ANG
33%
Draw
53%
LIL
▼ −1 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Lille has 4 declared absences

What could mislead us

  • Angers's defence sits at the 28th percentile — among the weakest
  • Lille has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Under 2.0 goals2Strength 95/100
Under 2.0 goals
Model
60.8%
Market
37%
Divergence
+23.8

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 60.8%, the market at 37%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
j-stinat
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts
3OMMarseille21+14
WLWDW
0
4LOSCLille21+10
WDWWL
0
5OLLyon21+5
DWLWD
0

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Lille at 53%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions