GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 14:30
versus

Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam

Stadion Woudestein
Pre-match analysis
57%
Both teams to score
EX52
Draw27
SP21
Head to head
3
EXC
0
Draw
5
SPA
mai 2026SPA — EXC2 – 3
sept. 2025EXC — SPA0 – 1
févr. 2024SPA — EXC4 – 2
oct. 2023EXC — SPA2 – 1
mars 2023EXC — SPA1 – 4
janv. 2023SPA — EXC1 – 0
juil. 2021EXC — SPA0 – 3
janv. 2018SPA — EXC2 – 3

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h52%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 16:30
EXCEXC
SPASPA
Stadion Woudestein · Pre-match analysis
57%
Both teams to score

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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EX winDrawSP win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1552145_210805hv1.9.354%59%

What would have to change

i22.3 pt span
Red card52 → 30.9-21.1
Opponent scores first52 → 49.2-2.8
High tempo52 → 53.2+1.2
Low tempo52 → 51-1
Key substitution52 → 51-1
Early goal52 → 520

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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3
EX wins
0
Draws
5
SP wins
17 May 2026SPA — EXC2 – 3
14 Sept 2025EXC — SPA0 – 1
17 Feb 2024SPA — EXC4 – 2
1 Oct 2023EXC — SPA2 – 1
5 Mar 2023EXC — SPA1 – 4
14 Jan 2023SPA — EXC1 – 0
31 Jul 2021EXC — SPA0 – 3
21 Jan 2018SPA — EXC2 – 3

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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