GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 14:45
versus

Ajax
Heerenveen

Johan Cruijff Arena
2 – 2
Full time
62%
Victoire Ajax
AJ62
Draw23
HE15
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h62%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 16:45
AJAAJA
HEEHEE
Johan Cruijff Arena
2 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕62%Ajax win · announced before kick-off
62%
Win AJA
23%
Draw
what happened
15%
Win HEE
62%at opening→62%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AJ winDrawHE win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1552134_210805hv1.9.354%75%

What would have to change

i21.7 pt span
Red card62 → 40.9-21.1
Opponent scores first62 → 59.2-2.8
Key substitution62 → 61-1
High tempo62 → 61.2-0.8
Low tempo62 → 62.6+0.6
Early goal62 → 620

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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