GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 18:00
versus

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven

Stadion Woudestein
1 – 2
Full time
78%
Over 2.5 goals
EX18
Draw19
PS63
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h18%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 20:00
EXCEXC
PSVPSV
Stadion Woudestein
1 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓78%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
18%
Win EXC
19%
Draw
63%
Win PSV
what happened
18%at opening→18%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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EX winDrawPS win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260815_af-1552129_210805hv1.9.354%73%

What would have to change

i22.3 pt span
Red card63 → 41.9-21.1
Opponent scores first63 → 60.2-2.8
High tempo63 → 64.2+1.2
Low tempo63 → 62-1
Key substitution63 → 62-1
Early goal63 → 630

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Notes

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