GRABBLESTATS
Watch🇲🇽 Liga MX · — · 01:00
versus

Puebla
Santos Laguna

— · Referee d-quintero
1 – 1
21:00
56%
Both teams to score
PU42
Draw27
SA31
Head to head
4
PUE
0
Draw
4
SAN
mars 2026SAN — PUE2 – 1
juil. 2025PUE — SAN1 – 0
févr. 2025SAN — PUE0 – 2
juil. 2024PUE — SAN1 – 0
janv. 2024SAN — PUE3 – 0
juil. 2023PUE — SAN2 – 3
févr. 2023SAN — PUE3 – 2
juil. 2022PUE — SAN1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
22/08 05h42%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

liga-mx · 03:0021'
PUEPUE
SANSAN
—
1 – 1
21:00

Live intelligence

i21'
Modèle en direct : issue recalculée depuis le score et la minute (Poisson restant sur les intensités d'avant-match). L'intensité est comptée sur les événements horodatés, par tranche de cinq minutes.
Live win probabilityat 1–1, 21'
40%
PU win
30%
Draw
30%
SA win
▼-2ppvs pre-kick-off model
MomentumRolling 5-minute pressure index
KO21'
Expected goals
0.00—0.00
Scoreline broadly in line with expected goals.
xG trajectory
Observed statistics
Key moments
  • 9'Normal Goal PUEE. MustrePUE
  • 4'Normal Goal SANE. BullaudeSAN
Model changes
  • ▼-16pp4' — SAN goalScore state changed. The remaining-time model re-weighted SAN's control of the match.
  • ▲+14pp9' — PUE goalScore state changed. The remaining-time model re-weighted PUE's control of the match.
  • •0ppxG accumulationChance quality created since kick-off, independent of the scoreline.

Live estimates depend on the event feed. When an event is delayed or missing, the model keeps its previous state rather than inventing one.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
PU winDrawSA win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
22/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1550930_220805hv1.9.354%43%

What would have to change

i23.7 pt span
Red card42 → 20.9-21.1
Opponent scores first42 → 39.2-2.8
High tempo42 → 44.6+2.6
Low tempo42 → 39.9-2.1
Key substitution42 → 41-1
Early goal42 → 420

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
4
PU wins
0
Draws
4
SA wins
23 Mar 2026SAN — PUE2 – 1
26 Jul 2025PUE — SAN1 – 0
3 Feb 2025SAN — PUE0 – 2
6 Jul 2024PUE — SAN1 – 0
31 Jan 2024SAN — PUE3 – 0
8 Jul 2023PUE — SAN2 – 3
27 Feb 2023SAN — PUE3 – 2
9 Jul 2022PUE — SAN1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

i